Combating Proliferation: Strategic Intelligence and Security PolicyJHU Press, 17 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 320 The intelligence community's flawed assessment of Iraq's weapons systems—and the Bush administration's decision to go to war in part based on those assessments—illustrates the political and policy challenges of combating the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. In this comprehensive assessment, defense policy specialists Jason Ellis and Geoffrey Kiefer find disturbing trends in both the collection and analysis of intelligence and in its use in the development and implementation of security policy. Analyzing a broad range of recent case studies—Pakistan's development of nuclear weapons, North Korea's defiance of U.N. watchdogs, Russia's transfer of nuclear and missile technology to Iran and China's to Pakistan, the Soviet biological warfare program, weapons inspections in Iraq, and others—the authors find that intelligence collection and analysis relating to WMD proliferation are becoming more difficult, that policy toward rogue states and regional allies requires difficult tradeoffs, and that using military action to fight nuclear proliferation presents intractable operational challenges. Ellis and Kiefer reveal that decisions to use—or overlook—intelligence are often made for starkly political reasons. They document the Bush administration's policy shift from nonproliferation, which emphasizes diplomatic tools such as sanctions and demarches, to counterproliferation, which at times employs interventionist and preemptive actions. They conclude with cogent recommendations for intelligence services and policy makers. |
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Strategic Intelligence and Security Policy Jason D. Ellis, Geoffrey D. Kiefer. JASON D. ELLIS & GEOFFREY D. KIEFER combating proliferation STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE & SECURITY POLICY Combating Proliferation Combating Proliferation Strategic ...
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Strategic Intelligence and Security Policy Jason D. Ellis, Geoffrey D. Kiefer. Combating Proliferation Strategic Intelligence and Security Policy Jason D. Ellis and Geoffrey D. Kiefer The Johns Hopkins University Press Baltimore and ...
Strategic Intelligence and Security Policy Jason D. Ellis, Geoffrey D. Kiefer. This work was authored by federal employees and therefore is excluded from copyright by Section 105 of the Copyright Act of 1976 . The views expressed or ...
Strategic Intelligence and Security Policy Jason D. Ellis, Geoffrey D. Kiefer. Contents List of Figures and Tables List of ... Strategy Notes Index vii ix xi 1 23 57 87 109 145 167 192 215 279 Figures and Tables FIGURES Satellite imagery ...
Содержание
A Dynamic Threat An Evolving Response | 1 |
Intelligence Judgments and Policy | 23 |
Estimative Uncertainties and Policy | 57 |
Deception Innovation Proliferation | 87 |
Prospective Risks Potential Rewards | 109 |
Intelligence in an Operational Context | 145 |
Intelligence Gaps | 167 |
Toward a National Strategy | 192 |
Notes | 215 |
279 | |
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Combating Proliferation: Strategic Intelligence and Security Policy Jason D. Ellis,Geoffrey D. Kiefer Недоступно для просмотра - 2007 |