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the political, military, and economic aspects of the organizational problems, and the desirability and feasibility of various organizational forms. Initially, work on this project emphasized the problems and topics related to the nuclear test ban negotiations and issues. In particular, the role of the control organization with respect to each of the measures including in-draft negotiating papers was analyzed for use in the preparation for the then forthcoming disarmament negotiations.

Project title: Arms Control Theory and Measures

1. Sponsoring Federal agency: Advanced Research Projects Agency.

2. Company responsible: The Rand Corp.

3. Amount and term of support:

(a) Estimated cost to July 15, 1961, $112,000.

(b) Estimated cost projected from July 15, 1961, to February 1, 1963, $145,000.

4. Date of approval of project: May 6, 1960.

5. Estimated date of completion: Continuing project.

6. Summary: This project was initiated to examine fundamental arms control objectives and concepts in the context of international power politics, national security problems, and possible long-term technological and political developments. It includes a study of some military implications of a denuclearized zone in central Europe, the economic aspects of the mechanics of some limited disarmament measures, the cooperative and competitive aspects of arms control agreements, the use of manpower ceilings as a means of controlling conventional war capabilities, etc.

Project: A Study on a Communication System for a Proposed Control Organization to Administer a Proposed Treaty for the Discontinuance of Nuclear Weapons Tests.

Name of sponsoring agency: The Secretary of Defense.

Person in charge of project: The Communications Directorate, Joint Chiefs of Staff (J-6).

Amount and term of support: This project was an in-house study, prepared by members of the Joint Staff. The study was not costed.

Date of approval of project: The project was assigned to the Joint Chiefs of Staff on September 19, 1960.

Completion date: The project was completed on November 28, 1960.

Summary of the project: The study describes a communication which could be established to support the proposed control organization in administering the proposed treaty for the discontinuance of nuclear weapons tests.

Project: A Study on Measures to Promote Greater Protection Against Surprise Attack.

Name of sponsoring agency: The Secretary of Defense.

Person in charge of project: The Special Assistant to the Joint Chiefs of Staff for Arms Control.

Amount and term of support: This project was an in-house study, prepared by members of the Joint Staff. The study was not costed.

Date of approval of project: The project was assigned to the Joint Chiefs of Staff on April 30, 1960.

Completion date: The project was completed on May 24, 1961.

Summary of the project: The project provides information that can be used as an aid in the development of arms control proposals-designed to minimize the risk of surprise attack. It provides material useful for negotiating purposes and for conduct of any future joint studies of surprise attack measures. It also provides a review of efforts which have been made through proposals to reduce the danger of surprise attack and war by miscalculation, and has a discussion of all such proposals made since 1955.

Project: A Study on Arms Control Policy for Africa.
Name of sponsoring agency: The Secretary of Defense.

Person in charge of project: Plans and Policy Directorate, Joint Chiefs of Staff (J-5).

Amount and term of support: This project was an "in-house" study, prepared by members of the Joint Staff. The study was not costed.

Date of approval of project: The project was assigned to the Joint Chiefs of Staff on January 27, 1961.

Completion date: The project was completed on April 26, 1961.

Summary of the project: The study provides the Joint Chiefs of Staff views on the military implication of an atom free African zone and regional arms control arrangements for Africa. It considers the strategic implications and effect on the U.S. military posture of such arrangements.

Project: A Study on Control of Manpower and Armaments.
Name of sponsoring agency: The Secretary of Defense.

Person in charge of project: The Special Assistant to the Joint Chiefs of Staff for Arms Control.

Amount and term of support: This project was an "in-house" study, prepared by members of the Joint Staff. The study was not costed.

Date of approval of project: The project was assigned to the Joint Chiefs of Staff on April 2, 1960.

Completion date: The project was completed on July 28, 1961.

Summary of the project: The study provides guidance for the development of U.S. and Western positions and for international negotiations concerning the verification of existing force levels and armaments and their subsequent reduction.

Project title: None

Name of sponsoring Federal agency: O.D.D.R. & E.

Name of organization: Army Library, Office of the Adjutant General, Department of the Army.

Amount and duration of support: In-house and not costed; one time with annual updating.

Date of contract: Assignment by memo dated April 13, 1961.

Contract expiration date: None.

Brief summary of the project: To prepare a bibliography with abstracts or synopses, of contemporary literature in arms control and related matters. Some supporting assistance with library basis.

LIST OF STUDIES PREPARED BY THE ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION

(Three parts with explanatory memorandum)

STATEMENT BY AEC ON LISTS OF RESEARCH PROJECTS (AUGUST 10, 1961) Enclosure 1 is a list of AEC projects undertaken since 1955 to provide the necessary technical information for U.S. nuclear disarmament proposals, such as a cutoff of the production of fissionable material for use in weapons. We have included in this enclosure only those projects funded by the AEC for this purpose and have not attempted to account specifically for the contribution of headquarters and contractor personnel whose services have been made available on a consultant basis to other agencies for arms control purposes.

Enclosure 2 is a list of projects which the AEC has funded in carrying out research on the problems concerned with control systems to monitor an international agreement on a cessation of nuclear weapon tests. As in the case of enclosure 1, we have not attempted to account for contributions of AEC headquarters and contractor personnel to studies sponsored by other agencies or for consultation with the laboratories, the furnishing of technical personnel, and other activities concerned with the preparation and conduct of the Geneva negotiations. For this reason, the VELA projects listed in enclosure 2 are projects assigned to the AEC under the VELA program which are funded by this agency. We have not attempted to list projects carried out in AEC laboratories which are funded by ARPA or other agencies in support of the VELA effort.

Directly related to this arms control effort, the AEC has initiated and carried on a program to assure that fissionable material and equipment furnished to other nations under bilateral agreements for cooperation would be utilized solely for peaceful purposes. These projects, of course, represent only a part of the AEC's safeguards effort which includes an active program for inspection of reactors and other facilities supplied to foreign governments. Although this work cannot be categorized as a research effort, the experience gained and the procedures developed in the conduct to date of over 100 onsite inspections would undoubtedly be of invaluable assistance in the implementation of any major arms control agreement involving nuclear disarmament measures.

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Project work has assessed the feasibility of
(a) detecting isotope separation and other
production facilities which were not declared
under an agreement for the cessation of the
production of material for weapons fabrica-
tion; (b) detecting production facilities whic
might be built clandestinely after the cessa-
tion agreement. A counterpart study per-
taining to reactor production operations was
undertaken by the Hanford Atomic Products
Operation of General Electric Co.

This project consists of work on the following
3 studies: (a) A study of the possible uses of
certain techniques in the detection of clandes-
tine withdrawal from the diffusion cascade;
(b) a study of the means of estimating the
past production of gaseous diffusion plants
and the accuracy of such estimate; (c) study
on the problems concerned with initiating
and phasing of an inspection system at a
gaseous diffusion plant or a complex of such
plants.

Systems for the control and inspection of a de-
clared plutonium production complex under
a disarmament agreement were investigated.
A system based upon material balance con-
trol and physical surveillance was proposed
and estimates made of the effectiveness of the
system and its manpower requirements,
capital and operating costs.

Project work has included the following major
assignments: (a) To design inspection sys-
tems which might be installed in an operating
gaseous diffusion plant whose design, effi-
ciency, and operating parameters were not
previously known to the inspector for the
purpose of detecting diversion of fissionable
material in violation of an international dis-
armament agreement; (b) to obtain estimates
of the efficacy of the developed inspection

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Study of the detection of unde- AEC... Hanford Atomic clared clandestine reactor facili

ties.

systems, manpower requirements, and cost
of control measures; (c) to supply the Com-
mission with technical advice on questions
pertaining to material control and inspection
at a gaseous diffusion plant.

Basic work, February Project work has assessed the feasibility of the
1960.

January 1958.

Products Operation,
General Electric Co.

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Effectiveness of control systems... AEC.

do.

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Continuing..

production of a small number of nuclear
weapons, either overtly or covertly, by other
means of isotope separation in a country
currently believed not to have a nuclear
weapons program.
Project work investigated and assessed material
control and inspection methods applicable
to declared fuel fabrication plants handling
uranium of high U 235 enrichment. Material
accountability and physical security tech-
niques of inspection and control were exam-
ined at various levels of intensity.
1. To examine methods for detecting clandes-
tine and undeclared nuclear facilities in
violation of a disarmament agreement.
2. To estimate effectiveness of methods con-
sidered and the costs and manpower require-
ments for implementation.

Continued examination of the nature and
effectiveness of an overall control system
under a disarmament agreement. Particular
emphasis on the interaction between inspec-
tion and control methods and their overall
effectiveness in detecting diversion and/or
clandestine production of any type; estima-
tion of the accuracy of predictions of past
production (during preinspection period) of
inspected plants; and a study of the problems
encountered in initiating and emphasing an
inspection system at a reactor production
facility or production complex.

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ENCLOSURE 2

Research projects funded by the AEC relating to techniques and systems to monitor an international agreement on the discontinuance of nuclear weapon tests

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