Beating Goliath: Why Insurgencies WinBeating Goliath examines the phenomenon of victories by the weak over the strong--more specifically, insurgencies that succeeded against great powers. Jeffrey Record reviews eleven insurgent wars from 1775 to the present and determines why the seemingly weaker side won. He concludes that external assistance correlates more consistently with insurgent success than any other explanation. He does not disparage the critical importance of will, strategy, and strong-side regime type or suggest that external assistance guarantees success. Indeed, in all cases, some combination of these factors is usually present. But Record finds few if any cases of unassisted insurgent victories except against the most decrepit regimes. Having identified the ingredients of insurgent success, Record examines the present insurgency in Iraq and whether the United States can win. In so doing, Record employs a comparative analysis of the Vietnam War and the Iraq War. He also identifies and assesses the influence of distinctive features of the American way of war on the U.S. forces' performance against the Iraqi insurgency. Make no mistake: insurgent victories are the exception, not the rule. But when David does beat Goliath, the consequences can be earth shattering and change the course of history. Jeffrey Record's persuasive logic and clear writing make this timely book a must read for scholars, policymakers, military strategists, and anyone interested in the Iraq War's outcome. |
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Стр. 2
In such asymmetric conflicts, insurgents may gain political victory from a situation
of military stalemate or even defeat.3 Mack went on to observe that in both the
French-Indochina War and the American war in Vietnam the outcome was
decided ...
In such asymmetric conflicts, insurgents may gain political victory from a situation
of military stalemate or even defeat.3 Mack went on to observe that in both the
French-Indochina War and the American war in Vietnam the outcome was
decided ...
Стр. 11
Ivan Arreguin-Toft, in his seminal 2001 assessment, “How the Weak Win Wars: A
Theory of Asymmetric Conflict” (and a ... predictor of asymmetric conflict is
strategic interaction” and that “strong actors will lose asymmetric conflicts when
they ...
Ivan Arreguin-Toft, in his seminal 2001 assessment, “How the Weak Win Wars: A
Theory of Asymmetric Conflict” (and a ... predictor of asymmetric conflict is
strategic interaction” and that “strong actors will lose asymmetric conflicts when
they ...
Стр. 12
In asymmetric conflicts when strategic interaction causes an unexpected delay
between the commitment of armed forces and ... First, although all combatants
tend to have inflated expectations of victory, strong actors in asymmetric conflicts
are ...
In asymmetric conflicts when strategic interaction causes an unexpected delay
between the commitment of armed forces and ... First, although all combatants
tend to have inflated expectations of victory, strong actors in asymmetric conflicts
are ...
Стр. 15
... losses on Soviet heliborne infantry operations.39His analysis rejects the view
that “weak actors could . . . be winning asymmetric conflicts because they are
supplied from the outside, rather than because they use a favorable
counterstrategy.
... losses on Soviet heliborne infantry operations.39His analysis rejects the view
that “weak actors could . . . be winning asymmetric conflicts because they are
supplied from the outside, rather than because they use a favorable
counterstrategy.
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Содержание
1 | |
23 | |
Vietnam Perspectives | 67 |
War Without Politics | 103 |
Search and Destroy | 117 |
6 Conclusion | 131 |
Notes | 139 |
Glossary | 159 |
Bibliography | 161 |
Index | 175 |
About the Author | 180 |
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administration Afghanistan al Qaeda Algeria American army’s Arreguin-Toft artillery asymmetric conflicts attacks Baathist British Bush casualties China Chinese Communist Clausewitz colonies conventional military counterinsurgency decisive defeat Defense democracies democratic effective enemy enemy’s external assistance factors failed fight firepower foreign help France French Goliath guerrilla warfare Hanoi Ibid Indochina insurgency’s intervention invasion Iraq War Iraq’s Iraqi insurgency irregular warfare JEFFREY RECORD leadership Lebanon Mack Malayan Malayan Emergency Merom militarily military forces military operations military victory Nationalist North numbers outcome PAVN Pentagon People’s percent population protracted Qaeda regime regular Saddam Shia side’s South Vietnam Soviet Union Soviet-Afghan Soviet-Afghan War Spanish strategy strength stronger side success Sunni Arab superior tactical terrorism terrorist Tet Offensive threat tion troops U.S. Army U.S. combat U.S. forces U.S. military United University Press Viet Vietcong Vietminh Vietnam War Vietnamese Vietnamese Communists waging war’s Washington weaker side weapons withdrawal York